What are chances of the ROC (Taiwan) declaring formal independence before/during the 2008 Olympics?

With Chen's days numbered and the very likely hood of a Nationalist president again I think it is of a high possibility.What are chances of the ROC (Taiwan) declaring formal independence before/during the 2008 Olympics?
I think the possibility is ';ZERO';. Many local surveys have repeatedly shown that less than 30% of Taiwnese wants independence while the majority wants to remain the current status. Without more than 50% support, I don't believe Chen's administration would declare independence (i.e. name change). You have to understand that Chen's ruling party (DPP) is the minority in the Legislative Yuan (i.e. Congress). The pro-unification Nationalists control the Congress. Besides, their ';sugar daddy'; (the U.S.) would not tolerate Chen's reckless moves. Last, it'll be the presidential election year in 2008. To gain support from the neutral voters, Chen's wouldn't make any extreme moves. Therefore, the possibility of declaring independence is ';ZERO';.What are chances of the ROC (Taiwan) declaring formal independence before/during the 2008 Olympics?
I can't say if they will, but if they do you are looking at World War III.
I think they should and rate its likelihood at 95% based on my observations. They are the real legitimate government of China and were in charge of the mainland until Mao and his minions kicked Chiang Kai Shek and his KMT followers to Taiwan. I'm a military fiction author and wrote my first book about a war between China and Taiwan with us stepping in to help a friend. China has threatened to nuke Taiwan in its opening move and to also nuke us if 7th Fleet or air units from bases in Japan or South Korea step into interfere. That seriously scares me and is most likely the spark to WWIII. If Japan steps in with its advanced units and fighting spirit, it would make a difference. Japan may not have the most forces compared to China or the U.S., but they're good fighters.
They won;t do it because the US will tell them to stop being silly. The US doesn't want to fight China because Taiwan keeps messing around. Reasons 1) There are too many consumers in China. The US doesn't want to screw that up. 2) China has nuclear weapons that can hit the West Coast. Taipei isn't worth Los Angeles. 3) The US military can't fight a conventional war with China because of Iraq.





So Taiwan keeps talking tough, but won't declare independence because the US wll sell them some radar or something to keep the idea of an independent Taiwan to just an idea and not reality.